As an estate agent working in Medway, I believe it's crucial to provide a comprehensive and realistic perspective on the local and national property markets. This approach aims to dispel the misconceptions often perpetuated by the media. Despite frequent reports predicting a housing market crash since September 2022, the actual data reveals that the British and Medway property markets are holding steady.
National Homes for Sale
To understand the health of the property market, we should first examine the influx of new properties (listings) entering the market. In the second quarter of 2024 (April, May & June), 450,486 properties were listed for sale across the UK. This figure is higher compared to the 411,927 properties listed in Q2 2023 and the seven-year average (2017-2023) of 399,581 new properties.
The average price of a UK property coming onto the market in Q2 2024 was £454,223 compared to £438,551 in Q2 2023.
The number of new listings is a critical indicator of market health. During the 2008 financial crisis, the number of properties entering the market in Q1 doubled compared to the previous year of 2007, leading to an oversupply and subsequent price drops. Therefore, monitoring this metric helps gauge market stability.
A simple method to assess market trends involves using Zoopla or Rightmove. By tracking the number of properties for sale and those sold subject to contract (SSTC) weekly, you can calculate the ratio of sold to available properties. An increasing ratio indicates a strengthening market, while a declining ratio suggests a slowdown (although don’t forget there is a seasonal factor to this). For a more detailed analysis, you can break this data down by property type and price range.
National Sales and Price Bands
In Q2 2024, 308,969 properties were sold stc in the UK. This is much higher than the 269,989 properties sold STC in Q2 2023 and above the seven-year Q2 average of 299,324.
The average price of a UK property sold stc in Q2 2024 was £369,373 compared to £367,030 in Q2 2023.
Examining listings and sales by price band provides further insights. In Q2 2024:
⦁ 33.9% of new listings were priced up to £250,000, yet this segment accounted for 40.4% of sales.
⦁ 40.3% of new listings were in the £250,000 to £500,000 range, and 40.3% of sales were also in this price range.
⦁ 13.8% of listings were priced between £500,000 and £750,000, yet only 11.6% of sales occurred in this band.
⦁ 5.7% of listings were priced between £750,000 and £1m, yet only 4.2% of sales occurred in this band.
⦁ 6.2% of listings were priced £1m +, yet only 3.6% of home sales occurred in this band.
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